NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated December 15, 2021
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steve Creaser | 26 | 9 | 66.7% | 1 | 33.3 | 1 |
| 2 | Dan Ellenberger | 25 | 9 | 64.1% | 2 | 32.2 | 2 |
| 3 | Gavin Gray | 23 | 9 | 59.0% | 3 | 29.7 | 3 |
| 4 | Nick Boucher | 21 | 9 | 53.8% | 4 | 27.1 | 4 |
| 4 | Matt Hogel | 21 | 9 | 53.8% | 4 | 26.9 | 5 |
| 6 | Andrew Batchelor | 20 | 9 | 51.3% | 6 | 25.5 | 6 |
| 7 | Luke Phelan | 19 | 9 | 48.7% | 7 | 24.9 | 7 |
| 8 | Karl Loiseau | 17 | 9 | 43.6% | 8 | 22.9 | 9 |
| 8 | Mike Thorne | 17 | 9 | 43.6% | 8 | 23.2 | 8 |
| 10 | Andrew Moeller | 15 | 9 | 38.5% | 10 | 20.2 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 10 | 13.2 | NO | 0.83 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 9 | 11.4 | @NYG | 0.82 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 7 | 8.7 | @DEN | 0.45 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 10 | 12.7 | @DET | 0.87 |
| Tennessee Titans | 9 | 11.5 | @PIT | 0.57 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 6 | 8.0 | @CHI | 0.62 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| New England Patriots | 9 | 11.6 | @IND | 0.43 |
| Cleveland Browns | 7 | 9.1 | LVR | 0.61 |
| Denver Broncos | 7 | 9.0 | CIN | 0.55 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 9 | 11.4 | SEA | 0.67 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 7 | 9.5 | ATL | 0.79 |
| Carolina Panthers | 5 | 6.0 | @BUF | 0.18 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Green Bay Packers | 10 | 12.7 | @BAL | 0.66 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 8 | 10.5 | KC | 0.39 |
| New York Jets | 3 | 3.9 | @MIA | 0.23 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 8 | 10.0 | GB | 0.34 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 6 | 7.4 | @SF | 0.21 |
| New Orleans Saints | 6 | 8.1 | @TB | 0.17 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Indianapolis Colts | 7 | 9.2 | NE | 0.57 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 6 | 8.2 | WAS | 0.67 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 6 | 7.5 | TEN | 0.43 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 9 | 11.5 | @LAC | 0.61 |
| Miami Dolphins | 6 | 7.9 | NYJ | 0.77 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 3.5 | HOU | 0.62 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 7 | 10.1 | CAR | 0.82 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 6 | 7.4 | @CLE | 0.39 |
| New York Giants | 4 | 5.7 | DAL | 0.18 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Washington | 6 | 7.6 | @PHI | 0.33 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 5 | 7.2 | @RAM | 0.33 |
| Chicago Bears | 4 | 5.4 | MIN | 0.38 |
- Win probability calculated from consensus vegas point spreads
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely contested
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 10 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 9 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 7 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Tennessee Titans | 9 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 10 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 6 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 2 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Cleveland Browns | 7 | 10 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| New England Patriots | 9 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 1 |
| Denver Broncos | 7 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 10 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 8 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 2 |
| New York Jets | 3 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 9 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 1 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 7 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 |
| Carolina Panthers | 5 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 8 | 5 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
| New Orleans Saints | 6 | 15 | 7 | -1 | 4 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 6 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 6 | 9 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 7 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 6 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 2 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 9 | 2 | 10 | -1 | 2 |
| Miami Dolphins | 6 | 16 | 7 | -1 | 4 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 29 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 7 | 4 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 6 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| New York Giants | 4 | 25 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Seattle Seahawks | 5 | 6 | 9 | -4 | 18 |
| Washington | 6 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| Chicago Bears | 4 | 22 | 6 | -2 | 5 |
Draft Results
